Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.004448 0.004684 0.004927 0.005195 0.005484 0.005785 0.006124
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.004000 0.004347 0.004719 0.005149 0.005634 0.006166 0.006796
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003697 0.004102 0.004549 0.005080 0.005700 0.006404 0.007271
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003552 0.004009 0.004526 0.005157 0.005914 0.006800 0.007930
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003393 0.003884 0.004450 0.005156 0.006023 0.007066 0.008434
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003239 0.003753 0.004354 0.005118 0.006076 0.007256 0.008845
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003078 0.003601 0.004223 0.005027 0.006052 0.007340 0.009116
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002943 0.003475 0.004115 0.004955 0.006044 0.007438 0.009403
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002857 0.003405 0.004072 0.004959 0.006131 0.007658 0.009862
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002699 0.003237 0.003898 0.004787 0.005975 0.007546 0.009850
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002634 0.003184 0.003868 0.004799 0.006062 0.007762 0.010308
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002623 0.003198 0.003922 0.004923 0.006304 0.008200 0.011110
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002535 0.003111 0.003844 0.004867 0.006298 0.008293 0.011414
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002458 0.003036 0.003778 0.004825 0.006308 0.008409 0.011758
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002378 0.002954 0.003700 0.004762 0.006285 0.008472 0.012022
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002353 0.002944 0.003717 0.004832 0.006454 0.008827 0.012766
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002303 0.002900 0.003686 0.004831 0.006519 0.009025 0.013269
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002245 0.002841 0.003632 0.004796 0.006531 0.009141 0.013641
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002173 0.002761 0.003548 0.004713 0.006465 0.009132 0.013798
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002110 0.002693 0.003477 0.004647 0.006423 0.009157 0.014014
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002074 0.002660 0.003455 0.004651 0.006487 0.009355 0.014543
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001986 0.002554 0.003326 0.004493 0.006295 0.009127 0.014297
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001957 0.002528 0.003311 0.004504 0.006366 0.009333 0.014850